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PSX hits another milestone amid monetary easing, upcoming IMF tranche

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KARACHI: The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) Wednesday breached the 58,000 mark for the first time as analysts credit monetary easing and optimism surrounding the economy after the International Monetary Fund (IMF) tranche for driving the market. 

The KSE-100 index gained over 800 to reach 58,203.85 during the intraday trading, up from yesterday’s close of 57,371.59, according to the PSX website. 

The KSE-100 index at 12:44pm. — Screengrab/PSX
The KSE-100 index at 12:44pm. — Screengrab/PSX

Arif Habib Limited (AHL) Head of Research Tahir Abbas, while speaking to Geo.tv, said that the market was continuing its positive momentum amid expectations of monetary easing, strong profitability, and certainty on the upcoming general election — slated to take place on February 8 next year. 

“Moreover, despite the fact that the market is trading at an all-time high, the valuation of the market is still attractive. The KSE-100 index is currently trading at a PE (price to earning ratio) of 4.3x as compared to the last 5-year average multiple of 6x,” he added. 

Meanwhile, Pakistan-Kuwait Head of Research, Samiullah Tariq told Geo.tv that the market is responding to the hopes of IMF board approving the tranche under the SBA as well as the low valuations compared to the region.

A day earlier, the stocks reached another high as investors were optimistic about the prospects of receiving the first loan tranche from the global lender. 

The market was buoyed by reports that the IMF board meeting to approve a staff-level agreement on the $700 million loan tranche under the standby agreement for Pakistan could take place in the first week of December, they added.

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Pakistan’s gold prices are still declining; see the most recent

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The price of 10-gram gold reduced by Rs943 to settle at Rs207,733, while the price of gold dropped by Rs1200 to close at Rs242,300 a tola, according to the Sindh Sarafa Jewellers Association.

In the global market, the price of the precious metal fell by $10 to $2,349 per ounce, resulting in losses.

At 04:48 GMT, the spot price of gold had dropped by 0.2% to $2,354.77 per ounce. In the previous session, prices reached a two-week high.

American gold futures dropped 0.6% to $2,361.

Spot silver decreased by 0.4% to $28.03 per ounce, while palladium remained steady at $978.03 and platinum decreased by 0.1% to $992.89.

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Pakistan and the IMF begin talks for a new loan.

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Pakistan is requesting a $6 to $8 billion bailout package from the international lender over the next three to four years to address its financial troubles.

A mission team led by Nathan Porter, the IMF’s Mission Chief in Pakistan, is meeting with a Pakistani delegation led by Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb.

According to sources familiar with the situation, Islamabad may face more difficult options, such as raising power and gas bills.

Mr. Aurganzeb informed the IMF team that the country’s economy has improved as a result of the IMF loan package, and Islamabad is ready to sign a new loan programme to further develop.

The IMF mission expressed satisfaction with Islamabad’s efforts to revive the country’s struggling economy.

The IMF praised Pakistan’s economic growth in its staff report earlier this week, but warned that the outlook remains challenging, with very high downside risks.

The country nearly avoided collapse last summer, and its $350 billion economy has stabilized since the end of the last IMF program, with inflation falling to roughly 17% in April from a record high of 38% last May.

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Petrol prices are likely to drop significantly beginning May 16.

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According to sources, the government is set to decrease petrol prices by Rs 14 per litre and diesel prices by Rs 10 on May 16 for the next fortnight’s revision.

Last month, the government reduced the price of fuel and high-speed diesel by Rs5.45 and Rs8.42 per fortnight, respectively.

The current fuel price is Rs288.49 per litre, while the HSD price is Rs281.96.

Meanwhile, oil prices fell further on Monday, as signs of sluggish fuel consumption and comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials dimmed optimism for interest rate reduction, which may slow growth and reduce fuel demand in the world’s largest economy.

Brent crude prices down 25 cents, or 0.3%, to $82.54 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 19 cents, or 0.2%, to $78.07 per barrel.

Oil prices also declined on signals of poor demand, according to ANZ analysts, as gasoline and distillate inventories in the United States increased in the week before the start of the driving season.

Refiners throughout the world are dealing with falling diesel profitability as new refineries increase supply and warm weather in the northern hemisphere and weak economic activity reduce demand.

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