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Petrol price in Pakistan expected to decrease by over Rs7/litre

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  • Latest news about petrol price in Pakistan suggests rates to drop.
  • Diesel price expected to drop by Rs16.61 per litre, light diesel Rs10.87.
  • Govt apparently not in mood to raise petrol price, say oil industry officials.

KARACHI: The price of petrol in Pakistan may decrease by Rs7.24 per litre and diesel by Rs16.61 per litre in the next fortnightly review if the government passes on the impact of the retreating global market by not raising taxation, latest news about the rates suggest.

Oil industry data shows that all petroleum prices are showing a declining trend; however, it is not clear if the government will pass on the impact or offset it by raising taxation.

Industry calculations show that the ex-depot price of petrol has registered a Rs7.24 per litre decrease to Rs230.19 per litre for the next fortnight compared to the existing price of Rs237.43 per litre, The News reported.

The ex-depot price of diesel has decreased by Rs16.61 to Rs230.82 per litre for the next fortnight compared to the current price of Rs247.43 per litre.

The ex-depot price of light diesel reduced by Rs10.87 to Rs186.41 per litre for the upcoming fortnight compared to Rs197.28 per litre now.

The ex-depot price of kerosene declined by Rs14.20 to Rs187.82 per litre against Rs197.28 per litre currently.

The prices calculated by the oil industry are based on the existing taxation by the government.

The government is charging zero general sales tax (GST) on petroleum products where the rate of petroleum levy (PL) on petrol is Rs37.42 and on diesel Rs7.58 per litre.

Under the International Monetary Fund (IMF) conditions, the government has to raise the levy to Rs50 per litre on diesel and petrol to generate additional revenue to achieve the tax collection target for this fiscal.

According to the oil sector officials, the government apparently is not in a mood to increase the petroleum prices by raising the rate of levy or re-imposing GST after Ishaq Dar takes the help of the Finance Ministry.

“It seems that Dar would not be raising the price of petroleum products, at least for this fortnight to send out a message about his plan to provide relief to the masses as he had pledged to do so before taking the charge of the finance ministry,” a top oil firm official believed.

He said that Dar might pass the impact of the global downtrend or he could also decide to stick with the same if global markets further eased in the coming review of prices.

According to him, the average price of crude oil was around 91 dollars per barrel from September 16 to 28, whereas average prices of diesel and petrol were $115 and $81 per barrel respectively in the global market.

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In a first for history, PSX crosses the 77,000 milestone.

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At 77,213.31, the benchmark KSE-100 hit an all-time high, up 1,005.15, or 1.32%, from the previous close of 76,208.16.

The government’s readiness to seal an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) following the budget was cited by analysts as the reason for the upward trend.

Experts anticipate that in an attempt to bolster its position for a fresh bailout agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the budget for the fiscal year ending in June 2025 would set aggressive fiscal goals.

Budget for Pakistan, 2024–2025
Pakistan’s budget for the fiscal year 2024–25, with a total expenditure of Rs18.877 trillion, was presented on Wednesday by Minister of Finance and Revenue Muhammad Aurangzeb.

The Finance Minister, Muhammad Aurangzeb, outlined the budget highlights. He stated that the GDP growth target for the fiscal year 2024–25 is set at 3.6 percent, while the inflation rate is anticipated to stay at 12 percent.

He stated that while the primary surplus is anticipated to be 1.0 percent of GDP during the review period, the budget deficit to GDP is forecast to be 6.9 percent over the period under review.

According to the minister, tax income collection increased by 38% in the current fiscal year, and the province will receive Rs7,438 billion. The Federal Board of income expects to earn Rs12,970 billion in revenue for the upcoming fiscal year.

In contrast to the federal government’s projected net income of Rs9,119 billion, he stated that the federation’s non-tax revenue projections are set at Rs3,587 billion.

The federal government’s total outlays are projected to be Rs18,877 billion, with interest payments accounting for the remaining Rs9,775 billion.

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Pakistan currently has $14.38 billion in foreign exchange reserves.

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Pakistan’s commercial banks’ reserves, which stood at $5.28 billion at the conclusion of the week ending on June 7, rose by US$174 million, according to a central bank statement.

Reserving US$6.2 million less, the SBP now has US$9.10 billion in reserves. The causes for the decline in the reserves it had were not disclosed by the central bank.

The SBP released a statement that stated, “SBP reserves decreased by US$ 6 million to US$ 9,103.3 million during the week ended on 07-June-2024.”

The State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) foreign exchange reserves were reduced by US$ 63 million as a result of repaying external debt, with the reserves standing at US$ 9.093 billion as of earlier on June 6.

The central bank spokesperson said in a statement that as of the week that concluded on May 31, the nation’s total liquid foreign reserves were $14.31 billion.

In terms of net foreign reserves, commercial banks have US$ 5.22 billion of the overall foreign reserves, according to the SBP.

SBP reserves dropped by US$ 63 million to US$ 9,093.7 million during the week that ended on May 24, 2024, according to the announcement.

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In the local market, the price of gold plummets to Rs240,700/tola.

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Gold with a 24-karat purity level has dropped by Rs1200/tola on the local market.

Each tola of 24-karat gold is now selling for Rs240,700, with a further drop of Rs1029 bringing the price of 10 kilos of gold to Rs206,361. These figures are courtesy of the All Sarafa and Jewelers Association.

Meanwhile, after a $2 decline on the global market, one ounce of gold will be valued $2315.

A tola of gold was worth Rs 600 more on Wednesday.

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