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Stocks close in green amid thin trade

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  • Stock market traded between hope and despair.
  • KSE-100 index gains 30.95 points to close at 42,761.19.
  • Shares of 334 companies were traded during the session.

KARACHI: Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) saw lacklustre activity on Monday but the benchmark KSE-100 index, after oscillating in a narrow band, managed to close in the green zone.

Sceptical investors adopted a cautious approach amid the continuous depreciation of the Pakistani rupee against the US dollar, mainly owing to the growing risk of defaulting and the absence of a timeframe regarding incoming financing from Saudi Arabia and China, which kept the mainboard stocks under pressure.

On the contrary, investor confidence received a boost on news of Pakistan’s current account deficit data which yawned $204 million in October 2022 as compared to September’s $363 million.

Owing to the mixed sentiments, the benchmark KSE-100 index moved in a narrow range of an intra-day high and low of 42,853.94 and 42,664.53 points, respectively to finally settle with decent gains.

The market, after opening on a positive note, witnessed fluctuations since the beginning of the session. The bourse traded between hope and despair, which eventually let loose the bulls who dragged the bourse into the green.

In initial trading, the index touched an intra-day high of 42,853.94 points, but it soon came down and remained in the red till midday. However, a buying spree in the final hour propelled the index into positive territory.

The benchmark KSE-100 share index gained 30.95 points or 0.07% to close at 42,761.19 points.

Benchmark KSE-100 index intra-day trading curve. — PSX data portal
Benchmark KSE-100 index intra-day trading curve. — PSX data portal

Arif Habib Limited in its post-session commentary noted that a range-bound session was witnessed at the PSX today.

The KSE-100 index opened on a positive note but a lack of investors’ confidence dragged the index to trade in a narrow range. Mainboard volumes remained dry although decent volumes were observed in the third-tier stocks.

Sectors contributing to the performance included technology and communication (+97 points), commercial banks (+17 points), miscellaneous (+9.7 points), transport (+6.4 points), and oil and gas marketing companies (+6 points).

Shares of 334 companies were traded during the session. At the close of trading, 150 scrips closed in the green, 156 in the red, and 28 remained unchanged.

Overall trading volumes declined to 132.94 million shares compared with Friday’s tally of 189.28 million. The value of shares traded during the day was Rs4.57 billion.

Worldcall Telecom was the volume leader with 14.12 million shares traded, losing Rs0.04 to close at Rs1.41. It was followed by TRG Pakistan with 10.23 million shares traded, gaining Rs5.02 to close at Rs146.57 and Unity Foods with 17.13 million shares gaining Rs0.41 to close at Rs17.13.

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Pakistan’s $1.1 billion loan tranche is approved by the IMF board.

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The cash is the third and last installment of a $3 billion standby agreement with the international lender that it obtained to prevent a sovereign default last year and that expires this month.

Following the discussion of Pakistan’s request for the release of funds at today’s IMF Executive Board meeting in Washington, the final tranche was authorized.

Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) came to a staff-level agreement last month about the last assessment of a $3 billion loan package.

The total amount of $1.9 billion that the nation has received thus far is divided into two tranches: $1.2 billion in July and $700 million in January 2024.

According to Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb, Islamabad could have a staff-level agreement on the new program by early July. Pakistan is asking the IMF for a fresh, longer-term loan.

In order to support macroeconomic stability and carry out long-overdue and difficult structural changes, Islamabad says it is seeking a loan for a minimum of three years; however, Aurangzeb has reluctant to specify the specific program in question. If approved, it would be Pakistan’s 24th IMF bailout.

See Also: Pakistan formally requests new IMF assistance

The event transpired on the day following Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s meeting with IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva, during which he reaffirmed the government’s resolve to restart Pakistan’s economy.

During the meeting held in conjunction with the World Economic Forum Special Meeting, the prime minister announced that he had given his finance minister, Muhammad Aurangzeb, strict instructions to implement structural reforms, maintain strict fiscal discipline, and pursue prudent policies that would guarantee macroeconomic stability and continuous economic growth.

Georgieva was commended by him for helping Pakistan obtain the $3 billion Standby Arrangement (SBA) from the IMF last year, which was about to be finalized.

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Macroeconomic circumstances in Pakistan have improved.

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By virtue of the Board’s resolution, SDR 828 million, or roughly $1.1 billion, can be disbursed immediately, increasing the total amount disbursed under the arrangement to SDR 2.250 billion, or roughly $3 billion.

After being adopted by the Executive Board on July 12, 2023, Pakistan’s nine-month SBA effectively served as a framework for financial support from both bilateral and multilateral partners, as well as a policy anchor to resolve imbalances both domestically and internationally.

According to the official announcement from the IMF, Pakistan’s macroeconomic conditions have improved during the program. Given the ongoing recovery in the second half of the fiscal year, growth of two percent is anticipated in FY24.

With a primary surplus of 1.8 percent of GDP in the first half of the fiscal year 2024—well ahead of expectations and putting Pakistan on track to meet its target primary surplus of 0.4 percent of GDP by the end of the fiscal year—the country’s fiscal condition is still strengthening.

Even while it is still high, inflation is still falling and should end up at about 20 percent by the end of June if data-driven and adequately tight monetary policy is continued.

In contrast to 11.4 per cent last year, the IMF predicted in an official statement that Pakistan’s tax collection and grants will stay at 12.5% of GDP in FY2024.

After remaining at 7.8% of GDP in FY2023, the deficit is predicted to stay at 7.5% of GDP in FY2024.

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Pakistan’s fuel prices should drop.

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At 0423 GMT, U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude prices fell 13 cents, or 0.16%, to $82.50 a barrel, while Brent crude futures were down 10 cents, or 0.11%, to $88.30 a barrel.

Both benchmarks’ front-month contracts saw losses of over 1% on Monday.

on line with the worldwide trend, the price of gasoline is anticipated to decrease by Rs. 5.4 per liter on the local market. In the same way, buyers in the Pakistani market may see a drop in the price of diesel of Rs8 a litre.

Additionally, it is anticipated that the prices of light fuel and kerosene will decrease by Rs5.40 and Rs8.3 per liter, respectively.

The finance ministry will receive a summary from the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA), and PM Shehbaz Sharif will be consulted before a final decision is made today.

The federal government raised the cost of gasoline by Rs. 4.53 per liter and diesel by Rs. 8.14 per liter at the most recent review.

At the moment, the price of gasoline was Rs 293.94 per liter, while the price of high-speed diesel was Rs 290.38 per liter.

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