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Rupee puts major dent in dollar on renewed bailout bets

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  • Rupee gains as investors hope inflows to bolster dollar reserves.
  • Analysts see rupee resilient if funding ensured down the line.
  • Saudi confirmation for inflows strengthens IMF bailout hopes. 

Rupee on Thursday turned tables on the US dollar, strengthening by over a percent in inter-bank trade, as hopes for the revival of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout flared up after Saudi Arabia confirmed to the multilateral lender of its financial assistance to Pakistan.

The local unit, in the interbank market, closed at 284.42 against the US dollar, up 1.2% or Rs3.43 from Wednesday’s close of 287.85, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP). 

Analysts termed this recovery, which came a day after the rupee hit a new record low of 287.85 in the inter-bank market after a decline of Re.56 or 0.19%, as a positive development and see local currency resilient in days to come if inflows ensured.

The IMF has conveyed to Pakistan that it has received confirmation from Saudi Arabia on $2 billion in additional deposits, rekindling hopes of an early signing of the agreement.

Islamabad has been negotiating with the IMF since the end of January for the release of $1.1 billion from a $6.5 billion bailout package agreed upon in 2019. To unlock the funding, the government has cut back on subsidies, removed an artificial cap on the exchange rate, added taxes and raised fuel prices.

However, assurances from friendly nations for additional funds have delayed the agreement.

Sources confirmed to The News that the lender had informed the Pakistani authorities about the development and the Fund staff seemed largely satisfied with the latest confirmation. 

“Now all eyes are focused on the UAE for getting confirmation on another $1 billion deposit from them, which may pave the way for striking the staff-level agreement (SLA) with the IMF,” the sources said.

Finance Minister Ishaq Dar is likely to visit UAE on his way to the US where he is expected to hold talks on the release of funds.

Worldwide, the US dollar gained slightly on Thursday but hasn’t strayed too far from a recent two-month low as traders weighed how pivotal US jobs data coming out during a holiday weekend will impact Federal Reserve policy.

The list of soft economic data has added to fears of an impending recession in the world’s largest economy, putting a lid on risk appetite and sending traders in search of some safe-haven assets.

It should be noted that the foreign exchange reserves held by the SBP stand at a critical level of $4.2 billion — barely enough to cover one month’s imports.

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Pakistan’s lunar mission ‘ICUBE-Q’ reaches the moon orbit.

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Pakistan’s lunar mission (ICUBE-Q) entered orbit around the moon on Wednesday.

Pakistan’s historic lunar mission (ICUBE-Q) launched from Hainan, China, on Friday aboard China’s Chang’E6 spacecraft.

According to the IST, the satellite ICUBE-Q was planned and developed in partnership with China’s Shanghai University SJTU and Pakistan’s national space agency SUPARCO.

The ICUBE-Q orbiter is equipped with two optical cameras to image the lunar surface. ICUBE-Q has now been integrated into the Chang’e6 mission after successfully qualifying and testing it.

Chang’e6 is the sixth lunar exploration mission launched by China.

The launch event was streamed live on the IST website and social media platforms. Chang’6, China’s Lunar Mission, will land on the Moon’s far side to collect surface samples before returning to Earth for further research.

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The FIA and KE have launched 13 successful operations against power theft.

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In March 2024, operations were performed in collaboration with the FIA, targeting locations such as Marora Goth, Peer Abad, Ellahi Colony Metroville, Merchant Navy Housing Society, Johar Colony, Willayatabad, and Architects Society, among others. As a result of these collaborative efforts, six FIRs regarding power theft have been filed. Furthermore, four people were caught, with three being remanded to jail and one being released after paying the fines. To enforce governance and maintain accountability, a total fine of PKR 44.33 million was issued. Additionally, in partnership with FIA Balochistan, KE has conducted anti-theft operations in Hub, where teams from KE and FIA thoroughly investigated places including as markets, retail plazas, residential and commercial properties.

Regular actions against illicit power use are part of KE’s everyday activities to prevent line losses and protect the safety and security of the electrical infrastructure. Since the start of the fiscal year (FY 2023-24), over 24,000 kunda removal drives have been performed, resulting in the elimination of over 190,000 unlawful connections and the recovery of over 260,000 kgs of illegal kunda wires.
Ongoing raids involving law enforcement personnel and other agencies have resulted in the registration of around 994 FIRs against various individuals throughout Karachi. Since the launch of the nationwide power theft campaign in September 2023, more over 100,000 incidences of theft of 180 million units of electrical power have been identified in KE’s service zone.

In response to KE’s anti-theft initiatives, a KE spokesperson stated that “71% of KE’s feeder network is loadshed-free. However, 29% of the KE network remains difficult, with electricity theft and nonpayment of bills still key issues. Serious theft cases have been found in Baldia, Surjani, Korangi, Orangi, Liaqatabad, Landhi, and Lyari, among other places. Highlighting the repercussions of electricity theft, which may jeopardize the safety standards of the power network, the KE Spokesperson noted that PKR 117 million has been recovered.

Recognizing the challenges faced by current macroeconomic conditions, especially high inflation, KE is taking proactive steps to assist customers by establishing facilitation camps throughout the city. Since July 2023, approximately 240 recovery camps have been hosted around KE’s operational zone to help customers resolve billing concerns, including supporting payment plans with manageable installments.

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Budget 2024–25: The government intends to abolish tax exemptions.

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According to the specifics, the federal government plans to phase out existing tax breaks for the erstwhile Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) and Provincially Administered Tribal Areas (PATA) regions in the upcoming fiscal year.

The decision to eliminate tax breaks in the FATA/PATA region is estimated to produce Rs 100 billion in annual revenue for the national government.

According to sources close to the issue, the Federal Bureau of Revenue (FBR) has already created a preliminary proposal for the next fiscal year’s budget, and the FBR head has also informed the finance minister on it.

Currently, the federal government provides tax breaks of Rs 1,200 billion to various industries; however, the IMF has instructed Pakistan to phase out these tax breaks in the next budget.

Pakistan’s president, Asif Ali Zardari, passed the Tax Laws (Amendment) Bill 2024 last week in accordance with Article 75 of the constitution.

According to a President House News release, the bill proposes amending legislation governing taxes and duties.

The bill’s revisions include changes to sections 30DDD, 43, 45B, 46, and 47 of the Sales Tax Act of 1990.

Similarly, the amendment bill amended sections 29, 33, 34, and 38 of the Federal Excise Act 2005, as well as sections 122A, 124, 126A, 130, 131, 132, 133, and 134A of the Income Tax Ordinance 2001.

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