Connect with us

Business

October inflation eases to 23.8% in Pakistan

Published

on

  • Inflation number is in line with Ministry of Finance’s outlook.
  • On a monthly basis, inflation moderates to 0.8% in November.
  • Going forward, economist expects inflation to come down further.

ISLAMABAD: The inflation rate eased to 23.8% last month compared to October’s record high inflation of 26.6% in line with the Ministry of Finance’s monthly outlook as the high base effect kicked in.

The latest inflation bulletin from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) also showed that the pace of price hikes also slowed down to 21.6% and 27.2% in urban and rural areas; however, the constant double-digit inflation in the country has adversely affected people’s purchasing power.

On a month-on-month basis, inflation moderated to 0.8% in November, compared to a whopping increase of 4% in the previous month and 3% in November 2021.

Economist Sana Tawfiq, while speaking to Geo.tv, cited a lower jump in food prices as a significant reason behind this month-on-month decline.

“Reasons for month-on-month moderation was lower jump in food prices with food index up meagre 0.1%, also transportation was down 0.1%.

“On the contrary; housing, clothing and household equipment indices were up monthly basis mostly showing a jump in winter-related items such as woollen garments and dry fruits,” she added.

The Ministry of Finance in its monthly outlook report had mentioned that inflationary pressure was expected to ease marginally in November due to smooth domestic supplies, unchanged energy prices and a stable exchange rate.

The prices of both non-perishable increased last month. The food group prices surged nearly 28.92% in November in comparison with the same month a year ago. The PBS data, however, showed that the prices of perishable food items decreased by 0.27%.

On a year-on-year basis, the pace of food inflation eased to 29.7% in cities and declined to 33.5% in villages and towns last month, according to PBS.

Non-food inflation dropped to 16.4% in urban areas and 21.4% in rural areas compared to the same month last year, according to the national data collecting agency.

Core inflation — calculated after excluding food and energy goods — eased to 14.6% in urban areas. However, it increased to 18.5% in rural areas. Tawfiq expressed concern over elevated core inflation as the economist believes higher core inflation is “alarming”.

“We expect headline inflation to come down further going forward, supported by high base,” Tawfiq predicted.

Price of essential kitchen items 

The prices of onions — an essential vegetable used in all households — were higher by over 34% last month compared to September, followed by a 14.79% increase in the rates of tea, and nearly 14.5% in various the price of potatoes and dry fruits, according to the PBS.

However, the prices of vegetables decreased in a range of 10-30%, chicken by 5.08%, and rates of various pulses by over 5%, according to PBS.

Business

IMF board to meet on Jan 11 for Pakistan’s first review approval

Published

on

By

  • Pakistan’s case not included in board meeting agenda for Dec 1-15. 
  • Ongoing SBA programme is going to expire on April 14, 2024.
  • Pakistan, IMF reached agreement on first review last month.

The International Monetary Fund’s Executive Board will take up Pakistan’s first review on January 11 next year for approval that will unlock $700 million under the standby arrangement (SBA), Bloomberg quoted the lender’s spokesperson as saying on Friday.

Last month, Pakistan reached a staff-level agreement with the IMF under the $3 billion SBA and is awaiting the board’s approval to receive a second tranche.

Earlier this week, The News had reported that Pakistan’s first review for approval was not included in the IMF’s Executive Board meeting agenda for the 1-15 December schedule

The publication reported that the IMF did not firm up its exact schedule because the Fund’s team was busy securing re-confirmation from all multilateral and bilateral creditors to meet the financing requirements of $24.9 billion for the current fiscal year.

This delay surfaced in discussions among the policymakers that the IMF might kick-start parleys on the second review probably after the general elections and takeover by the elected government.

The IMF programme was initially scheduled to kick-start parleys for a second review from Feb 3, 2024, but if the elections were scheduled to be held on February 8, 2024, then the possibility of holding talks might be done in the last week of Feb or early March 2024.

The ongoing SBA programme is going to expire on April 14, 2024.

A day earlier, IMF Executive Director Bahador Bijani noted an overall improvement in the economic situation, saying, the “Pakistani authorities have delivered”.

He made these remarks at an event hosted by Pakistan’s ambassador to the US in honour of friends of Pakistan from International Financial Institutions including IMF, International Finance Corporation (IFC), World Bank (WB), and Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), at Pakistan House in Washington.

“I think the future for Pakistan is very bright. Pakistan is not just any country. It’s one of the most important countries in the region and in the world. Pakistanis deserve much more,” the IMF executive director was quoted as saying in an official statement.

Nathan Porter, IMF Mission Chief to Pakistan, also expressed satisfaction over the recently concluded staff-level agreement. He said that the actions and policies of the current government reflected its commitment to steer the country towards stabilisation.

Pakistan is reeling from Asia’s fastest inflation, has about $1 billion in dollar-denominated debt due next year and is scheduled to hold elections scheduled in February.

Interim Finance Minister Shamshad Akhtar said after the staff-level deal in November that the country may seek an additional loan from the IMF, describing the economy as “still fragile.”

Continue Reading

Business

PSX hits new milestone as KSE-100 surges past 66,000 mark

Published

on

By

KARACHI: Bulls maintained their grip on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) as the benchmark index shot past the 66,000 mark on Friday by gaining over 1,000 points. 

According to the PSX website, the KSE-100 index gained 1,302.45 points or 2.01% to reach 66,020.52 points at 11:39am during the intraday trading.

— Screengrab
— Screengrab

Raza Jafri, who is the head of equities at Karachi-based Intermarket Securities, said that the banks and energy sector lead the rally at the bourse as cheap valuations and a reasonably settled environment help flows remain strong as foreign and local buys continue to invest.

“The MPC (Monetary Policy Meeting) next week should set the tone for near-term trading. While unchanged interest rates are widely expected, investors will look for clues in the text of the monetary policy statement to gauge how much interest rates can come down by next year,” he added. 

Continue Reading

Business

Pakistani authorities have ‘delivered’ on economic front, says top IMF official

Published

on

By

  • IMF official says Pakistan ‘important’ country in the world.
  • “Our country is destined to succeed,” says Masood Khan.
  • Nathan Porter hails actions and policies of Pakistani govt. 

WASHINGTON: Bahador Bijani, an Executive Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), has noted an overall improvement in the economic situation, saying, the “Pakistani authorities have delivered”.

He made these remarks at an event hosted by Pakistan’s ambassador to the US in honour of friends of Pakistan from International Financial Institutions including IMF, International Finance Corporation (IFC), World Bank (WB), and Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), at Pakistan House in Washington.

“I think the future for Pakistan is very bright. Pakistan is not just any country. It’s one of the most important countries in the region and in the world. Pakistanis deserve much more,” the IMF executive director was quoted as saying in an official statement.

The meeting took place as Islamabad awaits the IMF board’s meeting to approve a staff-level agreement on the first review of a $3 billion bailout, which will unlock $700 million in funding for the country.

Addressing the event, Ambassador Masood Khan observed that the past year was difficult for Pakistan. “We have passed through a wrenching transition and we are moving toward a new phase of stability,” he added.

“Have faith in Pakistan. Our country is destined to succeed,” he said.

“Our confidence stems from the people of Pakistan. We have a growing middle class and our human capital is increasing at a very fast pace,” he added.

Addressing a gathering of over 40 guests from the IFIs, the ambassador said that we were grateful to IFIs for their steadfast support in navigating through a difficult economic period.

Nathan Porter, IMF Mission Chief to Pakistan, speaking on the occasion, expressed satisfaction over the recently concluded staff-level agreement. He said that the actions and policies of the current government reflected its commitment to steer the country towards stabilisation.

“With that base, hopefully, we can build on and be able to move forward to reforms to build a stronger, prosperous and inclusive Pakistan,” he said.

He also appreciated the cooperation and the policies pursued by the State Bank of Pakistan for ensuring fiscal stability in the country.

Athanasios Arvanitis, Deputy Director Middle East and Central Asia Department IMF, also spoke on the occasion and expressed the hope that the elections in Pakistan would usher into a new beginning of undertaking a reform process that the country needed to make progress and address some of its structural issues.

Thanking them for their strong support, Ambassador Khan observed that the digitisation of Pakistan’s economy was creating new opportunities in the country for its youth and professionals taking the lead role in steering the country towards a bright future.

Lauding the professional achievements of Pakistanis working in the IFIs, the ambassador observed that Pakistani professionals have proved their mettle and have made the entire nation proud of their accomplishments.

“We are a nation of talented people. If you can make it, Pakistan will also make it,” observed the ambassador.

Syed Ali Abbas, Advisor Mission Chief UK, European Department IMF, in his remarks, expressed the hope that with the successful completion of the electoral process in Pakistan, the country would move towards a long-term and more durable approach which would change the trajectory of Pakistan.

Aftab Qureshi from the World Bank and Sidra Rehman from the IMF also spoke on the occasion and assured their continued cooperation.

The ambassador thanked the members of the IFIs and said that the country looked forward to working with its development partners.

Continue Reading

Trending