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Gold price hits new life-high of Rs188,600 per tola in Pakistan

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2 years ago

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  • Pakistani gold remains pricier than world markets.
  • Traders see local gold price touching Rs200,000 per tola.
  • Per tola price of silver remains flat at Rs2,150.

Gold was unstoppable on Wednesday too as it nailed yet another life-high with its safe-haven appeal growing stronger amid rupee depreciation and a dollar dearth.

According to All-Pakistan Sarafa Gems and Jewellers Association (APSGJA), the price of gold soared by Rs900 per tola and Rs772 per 10 grams to reach Rs188,600 and Rs161,694 respectively.

Based on the difference in price compared to the Dubai market, Pakistani gold is pricier than the world markets.

Traders see the gold price touching Rs200,000 per tola due to the rupee devaluation against the US dollar under the current cycle as well as the non-availability of the greenback.

The inflow of $6-8 billion from multilateral and bilateral creditors will burst the gold price bubble in Pakistan, market observers said.

Meanwhile, the price of silver per tola remained flat at Rs2,150. Likewise, the 10-gram silver price was almost unchanged at Rs1,843.27.

Gold prices extended their New Year rally to jump more than 1% and hit their highest since mid-June on Wednesday, helped by a weaker dollar and growing expectations of less aggressive interest rate hikes at upcoming Federal Reserve meetings. 

Spot gold rose 1.2% to $1,862.32 per ounce by 1119 GMT, hitting its highest since June 13. US gold futures also gained 1.2% to $1,868.30.

The dollar index, meanwhile, slipped 0.6%, making gold less expensive for overseas investors. There is some optimism in the market ahead of the release of minutes from the Fed’s December meeting later in the day, Kinesis Money external analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa said. 

“Majority of investors are betting on a 0.25% rate hike in the next Fed meeting, differently from a few weeks ago, when another 0.50% rate was given as almost sure.”

Pakistan’s inflation figures for December were released on Monday, with markets now pricing in a chance the central bank might hike interest rates by a full 50-100 basis points on January 23.

Although gold is considered a hedge against higher inflation and a safe store of value in times of uncertainty, higher interest rates raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

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ADB authorizes a $200 million loan for Pakistan to upgrade its power distribution system.

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A $200 million loan from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has been authorized to update Pakistan’s power distribution system.

The project intends to improve data management and communication networks and deploy more than 300,000 smart metering equipment.

The project will involve improvements to voltage levels at SEPCO grid stations and monitoring systems for 15,500 transformers. LESCO plans to build or upgrade 25 grid stations with cutting-edge machinery. The initiative will reinforce income security, enhance demand management, and lower power losses, all of which will help to address

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Bulls recover from a sharp fall.

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The benchmark KSE-100 Index hovered at 111,005 points after rising more than 2000 points against the previous closing of 108,896 points, indicating that bullish momentum has returned to the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) a day after a sharp bearish rally.

For the past month or so, the proverbial bulls have been galloping thanks to the cash infusion from the International Monetary Fund’s loan release and more discussions on climate funding.

The impending SBP policy rate-cutting meeting is another factor contributing to the current market mood. On December 16, the Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee is anticipated to convene.

Market analysts claim that the government’s decision to form a committee to address the outstanding problem of the Advances to Deposit Ratio (ADR) in the banking industry was the cause of the market’s abrupt collapse. However, the trend didn’t last long.

Following an extraordinary run of gains over the past month or so, the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) reached a historic high of 100,000 points on November 30.

The KSE-100 index achieved one milestone after another in November 2024 amid recurring reports of economic stability, mainly due to the recent loan disbursement by the IMF.

The reassuring agreement with the international lender and Pakistan’s economic czar Muhammad Aurangzeb’s subsequent announcement ruling out a mini-budget boosted investor confidence in recent times.

The State Bank of Pakistan lowered the policy rate by 250 basis points to 15% on November 5.

Inflation dropped more quickly than anticipated and approached its medium-term target range in October, according to the SBP’s relevant committee.

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PSX 100-index reaches an unprecedented peak, exceeding 111,000 points.

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The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) reached the significant milestone of 111,000 points shortly after today’s market opening.

The KSE-100 Index ascended by more than 1,000 points in the initial five minutes of trade, achieving a notable increase of 1,044 points to attain 111,014 points.

The increase indicates heightened investor confidence and a robust market sentiment.

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