Connect with us

Politics

‘PTI’s popularity is 70%’: How credible is the survey Imran Khan cited?

Published

on

Former prime minister Imran Khan has made a bullish claim, insisting that a recent survey finds his political party’s popularity soaring to 70% in the Punjab province. But the survey Khan has cited, may be based on limited and arguably sketchy data, Geo Fact Check finds.

“Look at this graph,” the 70-year-old leader said, in a recorded video message on Wednesday, “The result of a survey. This tells you that right now the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) is 70% popular.”

He repeated the claim in an interview with Al Jazeera on the same day.

The survey Khan is quoting was conducted by an Islamabad-based think tank, which goes by the name of Republic Policy.

As per the website of the think tank, the poll was conducted between May 10 and 15 in Punjab and its data found that 70% of the respondents it reached out to had a favourable opinion of Imran Khan.

While the former prime minister’s political rivals, Nawaz Sharif, Shehbaz Sharif and Maryam Nawaz had a combined popularity of only 18%.

However, neither the think tank’s web portal nor its YouTube channel provides any additional information on the methodology used to collect the information, the cities and rural areas in Punjab it targeted or the sample size of the survey.

Tahir Maqsood Chheena, one of the heads of Republic Policy, told Geo Fact Check over the phone, that 10-15 students, who worked as volunteers, helped him complete the survey.

“I also called people myself,” he added, “People who I knew, as well as sent teams in the field.”

Even more astounding is the sample size of the survey.

Chheena alleged that the think tank interviewed 25 people in each union council of the province. Punjab has over 4,015 union councils, which would mean that the Republic Policy reached out to an astounding 100,375 people in just five days.

“I cannot tell you an exact number of the sample size,” Chheena said, “It could have been 90,000 or 100,000.”

When asked if his team identified people scientifically, based on their income and profession, amongst other things. He said: “We did nothing as such. You have the right to say we did not do it [the survey] properly. Next time we will keep this in mind.”

The Republic Policy conducted a similar survey in March, where it again found Imran Khan’s popularity to be 62% in Punjab, much ahead of all other politicians.

Bilal Gilani, the executive director at Gallup Pakistan, said that in order to determine the quality of a survey it is important to tell the readers the sample size and the profile of the respondents interviewed, in terms of profession etc.

“I saw this survey and it didn’t tell you the sample size or the profiles,” he told Geo Fact Check.

He added that as per the international code of ethics for polling organisations, they must transparently disclose all information about themselves, including what they do and how.

“Even these details are scarce about the Republic Policy,” he said.

What is Republic Policy?

The think tank was launched in November 2022, Chheena said. It is run by him and “some other friends” who are all retired civil servants. Chheena himself is a former police official.

On social media, most of its tweets are favourable to Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI).

Latest News

PTI rally: Islamabad secured with 100 containers; 400 apprehended

Published

on

By

Authorities have barricaded Islamabad’s D-Chowk with the deployment of over 100 containers as part of enhanced security measures to obstruct the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf’s (PTI) protest march.

The federal police have established a three-tier security perimeter around the protest location to obstruct demonstrators from accessing the Red Zone.

The PTI organized a significant protest at D-Chowk, leading the Islamabad police to barricade all entry points to the vicinity. To uphold law and order, the police have commenced the arrest of citizens who arrived to D-Chowk early on Friday. Two civilians and one PTI worker were among those apprehended.

Roads in Rawalpindi are closed.
Security protocols in adjacent Rawalpindi are also stringent. All principal thoroughfares from Rawalpindi to Islamabad, including Murree Road and Peshawar Road, have been obstructed with containers and barriers. Critical intersections like Charing Cross, MH Chowk, Hyder Road, and Fleishman Chowk are entirely obstructed, resulting in considerable traffic disturbances. According to local traffic police, the roads to Kutchehry Chowk, Sawal Bridge, and the airport are accessible.

Widespread detentions in Islamabad
In the government’s crackdown on PTI demonstrators, more than 400 individuals have been apprehended in Islamabad, including 60 purportedly of Afghan descent. Security personnel apprehended these suspects in locations including Bara Kahu, Tarnol, and Sangjani. Reports indicate that law enforcement retrieved sticks, slingshots, pebbles, and stones from the inmates.

Imposition of Section 144
Section 144 has been implemented in the twin cities of Islamabad and Rawalpindi, prohibiting public assemblies and demonstrations. The regulation prohibits pillion riding on motorcycles, with exemptions for journalists, women, children, and the elderly.

Rangers stationed in Red Zone
The government has summoned Rangers to enhance security in Islamabad’s Red Zone, assisting the local police. Substantial law enforcement units have been deployed at all principal city entrances, with containers obstructing major thoroughfares to deter any flood of demonstrators.

The government’s objective to thwart PTI’s march to D-Chowk seems to be fully operational, as security personnel ready themselves for a possible confrontation.

Metro bus services connecting Islamabad and Rawalpindi have been halted, and all educational institutions are shuttered. The government’s advise for private offices to work from home persists, with commercial centres anticipated to stay closed during the protest.

The government has resolved to address the demonstrators with severity, deploying specialized police units to execute the arrests. A prohibition on pillion riding on motorbikes exists in the twin cities.

Continue Reading

Latest News

PTI talks are pointless, according to Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Governor

Published

on

By

“The federal government is weak in this regard. The KP Governor stated on the “Bakhabar Sawera” chat show that “they wouldn’t have dared if the timely action taken.”

The governor stated that something ought to be arranged for them. The governor of KP stated, “Until proper action is not taken against their missteps, they won’t come to their senses.”

They plan to foment a conflict between Punjab, the federal government, and KP, he claimed. “I am sufficient for Ali Amin, his statements are aerial firing,” Kundi declared in his caustic remarks.

He inquired, “He had vanished during the election, where he had become a guest.”

According to Faisal Karim, Maulana Fazlur Rehman has been the PTI’s political messiah. “He has now claimed that Khyber Pakhtunkhwa stole his mandate,” the governor stated.

As previously stated, lawlessness is once again a concern in KP, according to Governor Faisal Karim Kundi. “In2013, we had given them a peaceful Khyber Pakhtunkhwa; the province has reverted to lawlessness,” Governor KP stated in a media conference in Multan.

The majority of the region between Dera Ismail Khan and Kohat is now off-limits, according to the governor.

Continue Reading

Latest News

Speaking with the media, Azma Bukhari requests that social media be monitored.

Published

on

By

Azma Bukhari, the Minister of Information for Punjab, has stressed the importance of social media monitoring.

In a statement to the media in Lahore today, she stated that as social media is frequently used to target and defame people, it cannot be allowed unchecked.

While social media monitoring regulations have been passed globally, according to Azma Bukhari, the Pakistani government has not yet signed any agreements pertaining to social media monitoring.

Continue Reading

Trending