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Gold price surpasses Rs180,000 per tola, sets new record in Pakistan

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  • Gold cumulatively gains Rs19,450 per tola since Dec 1.
  • Experts anticipate price of gold may rise to Rs200,000 per tola.
  • Silver price hits all-time high of Rs2,100 per tola.

After a day’s break, gold prices continued to make and break records in Pakistan as per tola price surpassed the Rs180,000 key level for the first time in the history of Pakistan.

The price of gold surged by Rs1,850 per tola and Rs1,586 per 10 grams to settle at an all-time high of Rs180,650 and Rs154,878, respectively, the data released by All Pakistan Sarafa Gems and Jewellers Association (APSGJA) showed.

A day earlier, in a surprise move, the association did not release the gold rates citing uncertainty as a reason behind its decision.

APSGJA President Haji Haroon Rasheed Chand, in a public message, confirmed the bullion rates were stopped because of the “uncertain market situation”.

Gold prices have been rising for the last many days and have cumulatively gained  Rs19,450 or 12.06% per tola since December 1, raising concerns about whether the soaring price is sustainable or constitutes an unsustainable bubble.

Chand, however, blamed speculators for taking gold prices to exorbitant rates. He said that contrary to the claims there is very less demand in the local market.

It should be noted that the APSGJA notifies the gold rates to the market every day after determining the price by keeping in view its rates in world markets, the rupee-dollar exchange rate, and demand and supply in domestic markets.

Analysts believe that the unavailability of the dollar in Pakistan and the widening difference between interbank and open market exchange rates triggered the recent price hike; however, grey markets of the precious commodity have also added fuel to the speculations.

Experts anticipated that the price of gold may rise to Rs200,000 per tola due to the rupee devaluation against the US dollar under the current cycle.

Meanwhile, silver prices also registered gains and rose to an all-time high of Rs2,100 per tola and Rs1,800.41 per 10 grams after an increase of Rs50 and Rs42.87, respectively.

In the international market, gold prices consolidated in a narrow range as cautious investors awaited US economic data releases due later in the day that may influence the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate raising timeline. Prices settled at $1,815 after an increase of $7 per ounce. 

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Over 500 points are lost by PSX stocks during intraday trading.

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The market saw a bearish trend as it dropped more than 500 points, just hours after Pakistan’s Stock Exchange (PSX) reached a new milestone by reaching the 73,000 mark.

As compared to the previous close of 72,742.75 points, the KSE-100 index dropped to 72,177.22 points, or 565.52 points or 0.78% lower.
Expectations of an interest rate drop of up to 100 basis points during today’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, according to Intermarket Securities director of research CFA Muhammad Saad Ali, are driving market confidence.

The market is also being driven, he continued, by favorable news flow on upcoming negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a new program.

Last Friday, the late-session purchasing fueled a 1% advance in the stocks, which helped them close close to 73,000 points. Dealers reported this.

Closed at 72,742.75 points on Friday, the benchmark KSE-100 index saw a gain of 771.35 points, or 1.07%.

Notwithstanding the turbulent session, according to Chase Securities analyst Muhammad Rizwan, “the market rebounded with a strong start and achieved a new all-time high”.

“This impressive performance was driven by significant contributions from various sectors: Fertiliser added 386 points, Commercial banks contributed 174 points, the Power sector provided 112 points, and Cement added 93 points, collectively reversing the previous negative close and boosting market sentiment.”

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Despite global tides, Pakistan’s economy is recovering, according to Governor SBP

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Ahmad, who was speaking at the ICMA Pakistan Members Convocation, emphasized the country’s economy’s outstanding development while also highlighting the difficult macroeconomic environment of the previous year, which was marked by rising inflation, depleting foreign exchange reserves, pressure on exchange rates, and increased uncertainty.

Nonetheless, in the present times, the PKR has stabilized and the stock market is rising to unprecedented heights, reserves have increased to around US$8 billion despite large debt repayments, and inflation is dramatically decreasing.

Ahmad gave the government and SBP credit for their unwavering commitment to addressing macroeconomic difficulties head-on for this reversal.

Ahmad emphasized that the government’s efforts to reduce spending and achieve fiscal consolidation, together with the need for unpopular but necessary actions like the SBP’s increase of the policy rate to 22%, are producing beneficial results.

As global shocks like climate change, technology improvements, and cyber threats become more complex, he emphasized the significance of new viewpoints and creative solutions in tackling long-standing economic concerns.

Congratulating the graduating accounting professionals, Ahmad emphasized the importance of having a thorough understanding of accounting, finance, and economics in order to create workable solutions. He also urged the professionals to take a proactive approach to addressing new difficulties.

Ahmad emphasized the value of leadership abilities in policymaking and urged graduates to positively impact Pakistan’s economic landscape by working hard, being devoted to excellence, and contributing their full effort.

Along with giving a hearty welcome to Governor Jameel Ahmad and other SBP dignitaries, ICMA Pakistan President Shehzad Ahmed Malik also praised the SBP team’s efforts to stabilize the currency. With that, Ahmad presented the graduating CMAs with their degrees.

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The IMF board is anticipated to approve Pakistan’s $1.1 billion payout today.

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The IMF executive board meeting is scheduled to go until May 3, according to specifics. Based on the sources, it is expected that the international lender will approve Pakistan’s $1.1 billion payout today.

The State Bank of Pakistan is anticipated to obtain the final tranche from the IMF tomorrow, following approval, they added.

On July 12, 2023, Pakistan took advantage of a $3 billion loan package offered by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Thus far, Pakistan has been granted two installments totaling $1.9 billion: $1.2 billion in July and $700 million in January 2024.

On the last assessment of a $3 billion loan plan, Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) came to a staff-level agreement last month.

Following their week-long visit to Islamabad, which ended on March 19, the IMF delegation made the announcement.

Global lender expressed its optimism that the incoming caretaker administration and central bank of Pakistan would persist in their efforts to stabilize the country’s economy, complimenting them on their “strong program implementation.”

In order to further solidify economic and financial stability, the new government is dedicated to carrying out the policy initiatives that were initiated under the existing Stand-By Arrangement for the balance of this year, the IMF official stated.

In June of last year, the IMF granted Pakistan’s economic stabilization program support through a critical nine-month agreement.

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