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Gold bounces back in Pakistan as price rises by over 1%

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  • Gold resumes its climb, price settles at Rs148,450.
  • In global market, gold jumps to firm above key $1,700 per ounce level.
  • Silver prices in domestic market gain Rs60 per tola.

KARACHI: Gold resumed its climb on Tuesday after a knee-jerk retreat tied to the appreciation of the Pakistani rupee and anticipation of the monetary policy announcement, as the dollar slipped in the international market with investors latching on to a slight cooling of consumer prices.

Data released by All Pakistan Sarafa Gems and Jewellers Association (APSGJA) showed that the gold price surged by Rs2,150 per tola and Rs1,843 per 10 grams to settle at Rs148,450 per tola and Rs127,272 per 10 grams, respectively.

Investors are still nervous ahead of the monetary policy announcement on how aggressive the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) will be.

The rupee’s strength was hurting gold even though the precious metal was regaining shine in the international market. But gold has bounced back with the thinking that the inflation data is higher than expected, but not horrifying.

Investors, who were awaiting September’s inflation data to gauge its likely impact on the SBP’s rate hike plans, are now eyeing the MPC’s decision due on Monday (October 10).

Gold is considered a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainties. However, it is highly sensitive to rising interest rates, which raise the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing bullion.

In the international market, the price of the yellow metal jumped by $38 to firm above the key $1,700 per ounce level on a retreat in the dollar and US Treasury yields as investors expected the Federal Reserve to tone down its pace of monetary tightening. The price settled at $1,704.

Gold rates in Pakistan are around Rs3,000 below the cost compared to the rate in the Dubai market.

Meanwhile, silver prices in the domestic market gained Rs60 per tola and Rs51.44 to settle at Rs1,620 per tola and Rs1,388.88 per 10 grams.

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Over 500 points are lost by PSX stocks during intraday trading.

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The market saw a bearish trend as it dropped more than 500 points, just hours after Pakistan’s Stock Exchange (PSX) reached a new milestone by reaching the 73,000 mark.

As compared to the previous close of 72,742.75 points, the KSE-100 index dropped to 72,177.22 points, or 565.52 points, or 0.78% lower.
Expectations of an interest rate drop of up to 100 basis points during today’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, according to Intermarket Securities director of research CFA Muhammad Saad Ali, are driving market confidence.

The market is also being driven, he continued, by favourable news flow on upcoming negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a new programme.

Last Friday, the late-session purchasing fueled a 1% advance in the stocks, which helped them close close to 73,000 points. Dealers reported this.

Closed at 72,742.75 points on Friday, the benchmark KSE-100 index saw a gain of 771.35 points, or 1.07%.

Notwithstanding the turbulent session, according to Chase Securities analyst Muhammad Rizwan, “the market rebounded with a strong start and achieved a new all-time high.”.

“This impressive performance was driven by significant contributions from various sectors: fertiliser added 386 points, commercial banks contributed 174 points, the power sector provided 112 points, and cement added 93 points, collectively reversing the previous negative close and boosting market sentiment.”

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Despite global tides, Pakistan’s economy is recovering, according to Governor SBP

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Ahmad, who was speaking at the ICMA Pakistan Members Convocation, emphasised the country’s economy’s outstanding development while also highlighting the difficult macroeconomic environment of the previous year, which was marked by rising inflation, depleting foreign exchange reserves, pressure on exchange rates, and increased uncertainty.

Nonetheless, in the present times, the PKR has stabilized and the stock market is rising to unprecedented heights, reserves have increased to around US$8 billion despite large debt repayments, and inflation is dramatically decreasing.

Ahmad gave the government and SBP credit for their unwavering commitment to addressing macroeconomic difficulties head-on for this reversal.

Ahmad emphasized that the government’s efforts to reduce spending and achieve fiscal consolidation, together with the need for unpopular but necessary actions like the SBP’s increase of the policy rate to 22%, are producing beneficial results.

As global shocks like climate change, technology improvements, and cyber threats become more complex, he emphasises the significance of new viewpoints and creative solutions in tackling long-standing economic concerns.

Congratulating the graduating accounting professionals, Ahmad emphasized the importance of having a thorough understanding of accounting, finance, and economics in order to create workable solutions. He also urged the professionals to take a proactive approach to addressing new difficulties.

Ahmad emphasized the value of leadership abilities in policymaking and urged graduates to positively impact Pakistan’s economic landscape by working hard, being devoted to excellence, and contributing their full effort.

Along with giving a hearty welcome to Governor Jameel Ahmad and other SBP dignitaries, ICMA Pakistan President Shehzad Ahmed Malik also praised the SBP team’s efforts to stabilize the currency. With that, Ahmad presented the graduating CMAs with their degrees.

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The IMF board is anticipated to approve Pakistan’s $1.1 billion payout today.

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The IMF executive board meeting is scheduled to go until May 3, according to specifics. Based on the sources, it is expected that the international lender will approve Pakistan’s $1.1 billion payout today.

The State Bank of Pakistan is anticipated to obtain the final tranche from the IMF tomorrow, following approval, they added.

On July 12, 2023, Pakistan took advantage of a $3 billion loan package offered by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Thus far, Pakistan has been granted two installments totaling $1.9 billion: $1.2 billion in July and $700 million in January 2024.

On the last assessment of a $3 billion loan plan, Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) came to a staff-level agreement last month.

Following their week-long visit to Islamabad, which ended on March 19, the IMF delegation made the announcement.

Global lender expressed its optimism that the incoming caretaker administration and central bank of Pakistan would persist in their efforts to stabilize the country’s economy, complimenting them on their “strong program implementation.”

In order to further solidify economic and financial stability, the new government is dedicated to carrying out the policy initiatives that were initiated under the existing Stand-By Arrangement for the balance of this year, the IMF official stated.

In June of last year, the IMF granted Pakistan’s economic stabilization program support through a critical nine-month agreement.

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